Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gillingham vs Fulham U21

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dobbs L.
35'
Rowe A.
46'
Sub
Hutton R. In: Webster H.
Out: Hutton R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Gillingham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gillingham
30%
Draws
34%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gillingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gillingham haven't matched Fulham U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gillingham a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Fulham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fulham U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Fulham U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Gillingham vs Fulham U21
4:1
Nov 7, 2023 EFL Trophy
Gillingham vs Fulham U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobbs L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beszant C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fulham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Loupalo-Bi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 34 / 100
Fulham U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Fulham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fulham U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Gillingham's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gillingham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Fulham U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
Page 1 of 6

Fulham U21

(Away)
24 Apr
Fulham U21
2 : 3
West Ham U21
10 Apr
Fulham U21
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
23 Mar
Stoke City U21
3 : 2
Fulham U21
13 Mar
Fulham U21
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
06 Mar
Brighton U21
3 : 4
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)