This match ends 4-1, with Gillingham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
Gillingham
30%
Draws
34%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
Gillingham haven't matched Fulham U21's recent run of results.
Model gives Gillingham a 36% chance of winning this.
Fulham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Fulham U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals99%
Over 1.5 Goals94%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals70%
Over 4.5 Goals32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)73.4%
Gillingham Clean Sheet10%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Gillingham
Fulham U21
Matches Played
30
30
Wins
9
12
Draws
5
5
Losses
16
13
Goals Scored
0.75
1.75
Goals Conceded
2.25
2.25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
2.25
2.25
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2025EFL Trophy
GillinghamvsFulham U21
4:1
Nov 7, 2023EFL Trophy
GillinghamvsFulham U21
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Top GoalscorerDobbs L.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderBeszant C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game0.58
Avg xA / game0.38
Fulham U21 Compare
Top GoalscorerLoupalo-Bi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.59
Avg xA / game0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham34 / 100
Fulham U2133 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Fulham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickDraw (X)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:2
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fulham U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Gillingham's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Gillingham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.