Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Grimsby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
7'
7'
Rodgers H.
24'
24'
McCleary G.
37'
37'
Hale R.
Assist: McCleary G.
AI Match Summary
Grimsby in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grimsby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Grimsby average 1.79 goals a game right now, well clear of Gillingham's 1.43.
- Gillingham are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Grimsby have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Grimsby
1:4
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Grimsby
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Gillingham
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Gillingham
1:1
Oct 1, 2024 League Two
Gillingham vs Grimsby
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Hale R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodgers H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Turi G. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 40 / 100
Grimsby 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Gillingham scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Grimsby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Gillingham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Grimsby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 Gillingham
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4 Grimsby
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1 Port Vale
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1 Gillingham
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4 Grimsby
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1 Port Vale
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3 Brighton U21
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4 Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 3
Grimsby
(Away) 31 Oct
Grimsby
5 : 2 York City
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4 Grimsby
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2 Grimsby
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2 Northampton
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4 Grimsby
20 Oct
Rochdale
2 : 2 Grimsby
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Grimsby
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
