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Gillingham vs Millwall

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Goodwin W.
46'
Sub
Mazou-Sacko D. In: Massey A.
Out: Mazou-Sacko D.
46'
Sub
Doughty A. In: Kendall S.
Out: Doughty A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gillingham and Millwall finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gillingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gillingham
35%
Draws
20%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gillingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Millwall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gillingham a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 17%
Millwall Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Millwall
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
0:2
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
1:1
Jul 21, 2019 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodwin W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Millwall Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 84 / 100
Millwall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gillingham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Gillingham stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Gillingham's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Millwall has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Millwall
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4
Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1
Gillingham
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1
Northampton
22 Aug
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0
Gillingham
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Millwall

(Away)
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
02 Sept
Millwall
0 : 3
Wrexham
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