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Gillingham vs Millwall

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Goodwin W.
46'
Sub
Mazou-Sacko D. In: Massey A.
Out: Mazou-Sacko D.
46'
Sub
Doughty A. In: Kendall S.
Out: Doughty A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gillingham and Millwall finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gillingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gillingham
33%
Draws
27%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gillingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Millwall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gillingham a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 16%
Millwall Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Millwall
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
0:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
0:2
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
1:1
Jul 21, 2019 Club Friendly
Gillingham vs Millwall
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Goodwin W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Millwall Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 39 / 100
Millwall 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Millwall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gillingham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Millwall
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
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Millwall

(Away)
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
14 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 1
Millwall
11 May
Millwall
0 : 2
Hull City
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