Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Port Vale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
42'
42'
Hale R.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Hall G. In: Dempsey K.
Out: Hall G.
46'
46'
Sub
Hernandez O. In: Lynch O.
Out: Hernandez O.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Gillingham and Port Vale finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Port Vale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Port Vale carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 20%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Port Vale
1:1
May 3, 2025 League Two
Port Vale vs Gillingham
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Gillingham vs Port Vale
1:0
Feb 11, 2017 League One
Gillingham vs Port Vale
1:1
Sep 17, 2016 League One
Port Vale vs Gillingham
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Port Vale Compare
Top Goalscorer Figueroa K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 32 / 100
Port Vale 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Port Vale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gillingham scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Port Vale let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Gillingham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Port Vale
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1 Port Vale
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1 Gillingham
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3 Brighton U21
10 Oct
Rotherham
1 : 4 Gillingham
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1 Port Vale
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3 Brighton U21
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0 Newport
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4 Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 4
Port Vale
(Away) 20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1 Port Vale
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Grimsby
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0 Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1 Port Vale
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York City | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
