Sport Picks
Gillingham vs Shrewsbury
England
League Two 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 
Match Events
31'
31'
Perry T.
36'
36'
Sub
Gale S. In: Williams J.
Out: Gale S.
37'
37'
Hale R.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Gillingham and Shrewsbury finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gillingham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gillingham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Gillingham's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what Shrewsbury have produced (0.93).
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Gillingham taking it.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 68%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gillingham | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
3:3
Jan 25, 2022 League One
Gillingham vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Aug 28, 2021 League One
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
2:1
Apr 10, 2021 League One
Gillingham vs Shrewsbury
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gillingham Compare
Top Goalscorer McCleary G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Shrewsbury Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gillingham 95 / 100
Shrewsbury 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gillingham Shrewsbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gillingham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gillingham has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Gillingham scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Shrewsbury let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Gillingham VS Shrewsbury
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gillingham
(Home) 19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
01 Sept
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Gillingham
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
08 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Luton
Page 1 of 3
Shrewsbury
(Away) 19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0 Shrewsbury
29 Aug
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 Salford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0 Shrewsbury
25 Aug
Fleetwood Town
4 : 0 Shrewsbury
15 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
