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Stadium Background

Gillingham vs Swindon

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Beckles O.
43'
Wright W.
45'
Tafazolli R.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Gillingham and Swindon finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swindon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gillingham
11%
Draws
9%
Swindon
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gillingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Gillingham haven't matched Swindon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gillingham a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 18%
Swindon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Swindon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Swindon
0:2
Jan 1, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Gillingham
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Swindon
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 League Two
Swindon vs Gillingham
1:1
Feb 13, 2024 League Two
Gillingham vs Swindon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Swindon Compare

Top Goalscorer Drinan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holman F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 76 / 100
Swindon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Swindon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Swindon let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Gillingham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Swindon
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
25 Apr
Barnet
6 : 2
Gillingham
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Swindon

(Away)
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3
Bristol City
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1
Swindon
14 Jul
Swindon
0 : 1
Chippenham Town
04 Jul
Swindon
4 : 0
Swindon Supermarine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)