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Gillingham vs Tranmere - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
McKenzie R.
31'
Smith N.
35'
King E.

AI Match Summary

Gillingham in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gillingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gillingham
30%
Draws
37%
Tranmere
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tranmere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gillingham have won more games recently than Tranmere.
  • Tranmere are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 13%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Tranmere
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Tranmere
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Tranmere
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Gillingham
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Gillingham
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 League Two
Gillingham vs Tranmere
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobbs L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hale R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tranmere Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 22 / 100
Tranmere 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Tranmere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranmere Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gillingham scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Tranmere has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gillingham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Tranmere
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2
Gillingham
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4
Grimsby
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1
Port Vale
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1
Gillingham
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

Tranmere

(Away)
31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1
Cheltenham
24 Oct
Crawley Town
1 : 1
Tranmere
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1
Tranmere
17 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 2
Barnet
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1
Rochdale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)