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Gillingham vs Walsall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ahui E.
31'
Sub
Little A. In: McKenzie R.
Out: Little A.
37'
Sub
Gordon L. In: Dobbs L.
Out: Gordon L.

AI Match Summary

Walsall in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Walsall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gillingham
20%
Draws
47%
Walsall
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gillingham have won more games recently than Walsall.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Walsall taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 13%
Walsall Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham Walsall
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Gillingham vs Walsall
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 League Two
Walsall vs Gillingham
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Walsall
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Walsall
0:0
Feb 11, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Gillingham
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gillingham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Walsall Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Connolly J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham 27 / 100
Walsall 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham Walsall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walsall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gillingham's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Walsall let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Gillingham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham VS Walsall
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham

(Home)
31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2
Gillingham
24 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 4
Grimsby
20 Oct
Gillingham
1 : 1
Port Vale
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1
Gillingham
13 Oct
Gillingham
4 : 3
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

Walsall

(Away)
31 Oct
Colchester
1 : 3
Walsall
26 Oct
Walsall
2 : 4
Salford
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
17 Oct
Swindon
1 : 1
Walsall
13 Oct
Walsall
3 : 2
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)