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Gillingham W vs Colchester W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Gillingham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gillingham W
30%
Draws
28%
Colchester W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gillingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Colchester W haven't matched Gillingham W's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gillingham W taking it.
  • Gillingham W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gillingham W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Gillingham W Clean Sheet 15%
Colchester W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gillingham W Colchester W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 0 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2012 Women’s FA Cup
Gillingham W vs Colchester W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gillingham W 84 / 100
Colchester W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gillingham W Colchester W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gillingham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Colchester W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Gillingham W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gillingham W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gillingham W VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gillingham W

(Home)
08 Jan
AFC Wimbledon W
1 : 0
Gillingham W
27 Nov
Dulwich Hamlet W
1 : 2
Gillingham W
13 Nov
Millwall W
2 : 3
Gillingham W
19 Dec
Gillingham W
0 : 1
Charlton W
28 Nov
Gillingham W
:
Actonians W
Page 1 of 6

Colchester W

(Away)
14 Apr
Hounslow W
2 : 2
Colchester W
07 Apr
Colchester W
0 : 2
Millwall W
31 Mar
Chatham W
0 : 0
Colchester W
17 Mar
West Ham W
1 : 1
Colchester W
03 Mar
Colchester W
1 : 0
Reading W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Keynsham Town W 5
Sheffield Wed W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Sunderland W 7
Bristol City W -
TBD -
Coventry United W 1
Leeds W 2
Charlton W 2
Derby W 0
Preston W 0
Blackburn W 2
London Bees W 3
Sporting Club Albion W 0
TBD -
Doncaster W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Brighton W 3
Larkhall W 0
Notts County W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Enfield Town W 0
Manchester City W 2
TBD -
Everton W -
1/8-finals
Birmingham W 3
Liverpool W 0
Keynsham Town W 1
Sunderland W 5
Bristol City W 3
Leeds W 0
Charlton W 1
Blackburn W 5
London Bees W 1
Doncaster W 2
Chelsea W 3
Brighton W 0
Notts County W 0
Arsenal W 1
Manchester City W 1
Everton W 5
Quarter-finals
Birmingham W 4
Sunderland W 0
Bristol City W 3
Blackburn W 0
Doncaster W 0
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 2
Everton W 1
Semi-finals
Birmingham W 4
Bristol City W 1
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 0
Final
Birmingham W 3
Chelsea W 2