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Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Bucheon FC 1995 Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Go Jae-Hyeon
Assist: Jung Jae-Min
32' Event
Baek Dong-Gyu
Assist: Patrick William
45'
Kim Sang-Jun

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gimcheon Sangmu
35%
Draws
16%
Bucheon FC 1995
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimcheon Sangmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bucheon FC 1995 lately — more wins on the board than Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • Gimcheon Sangmu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 68%
Bucheon FC 1995 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Bucheon FC 1995
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 16 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 K League 1
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:2
Jul 11, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Bucheon FC 1995
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 K League 1
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:2
May 14, 2025 Korean Cup
Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu
3:1
Oct 7, 2023 K League 2
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Bucheon FC 1995
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Go Jae-Hyeon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bucheon FC 1995 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baek Dong-Gyu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 95 / 100
Bucheon FC 1995 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Bucheon FC 1995

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimcheon Sangmu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Bucheon FC 1995 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Gimcheon Sangmu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Bucheon FC 1995
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

Bucheon FC 1995

(Away)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
12 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 2
Jeju SK
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
29 Aug
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 1
Anyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)