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Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimcheon Sangmu host Daejeon in the K League 1. This one's hard to separate. Daejeon have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Gimcheon Sangmu have conceded 1.23 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Daejeon slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.94, favoring Daejeon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gimcheon Sangmu
35%
Draws
42%
Daejeon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Daejeon lately — more wins on the board than Gimcheon Sangmu.
  • Win probability leans Daejeon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Daejeon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 16 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
Jun 18, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 26 / 100
Daejeon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Daejeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Daejeon conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gimcheon Sangmu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Daejeon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2
Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
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Daejeon

(Away)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Daejeon
3 : 2
Anyang
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)