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Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Lee Sang-Heon
29'
Sub
Ju Se-Jong In: Shin Chang-Moo
Out: Ju Se-Jong
31'
Yu Je-Ho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gimcheon Sangmu
33%
Draws
27%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gimcheon Sangmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimcheon Sangmu have won more games recently than Gwangju FC.
  • Model gives Gimcheon Sangmu a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 68%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Gwangju FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
1:1
Jul 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
May 5, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Go Jae-Hyeon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 50 / 100
Gwangju FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimcheon Sangmu found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Gwangju FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Gimcheon Sangmu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Gwangju FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
25 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
3 : 2
Daejeon
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
11 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
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Gwangju FC

(Away)
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul19133334:1442
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon1988324:1232
4Ulsan Hyundai1984727:2828
5Pohang2084820:2128
6Anyang1969426:2227
7Incheon1983824:2027
8Jeju SK1966717:1924
9Daejeon2048823:2320
10Gimcheon Sangmu20311621:2820
11Bucheon FC 19951947817:2419
12Gwangju FC19171110:4310
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)