Sport Picks
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Korea
K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon 
Match Events
26'
26'
Kim Yi-Seok
Assist: Go Jae-Hyeon
46'
46'
Sub
Ju Se-Jong In: Joung Ji-hun
Out: Ju Se-Jong
54'
54'
Go Jae-Hyeon
AI Match Summary
The K League 1 game between Gimcheon Sangmu and Gwangju FC finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimcheon Sangmu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Gimcheon Sangmu carry the better recent record into this one.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Gimcheon Sangmu taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 20%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimcheon Sangmu | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 15 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
2:2
Jul 22, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
1:1
Jul 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
May 5, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimcheon Sangmu Compare
Top Goalscorer Kim Yi-Seok
1 Goals Assists Leader Go Jae-Hyeon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gwangju FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Iredale J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fridjonsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimcheon Sangmu 49 / 100
Gwangju FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimcheon Sangmu Gwangju FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimcheon Sangmu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gwangju FC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Gimcheon Sangmu's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Gimcheon Sangmu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gimcheon Sangmu VS Gwangju FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimcheon Sangmu
(Home) 10 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 1 Anyang
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 1 Anyang
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gangwon
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
25 Aug
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 0 Jeonbuk
08 Aug
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 0 Seoul
Page 1 of 3
Gwangju FC
(Away) 20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5 Seoul
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
26 Aug
Gangwon
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1 Gwangju FC
08 Aug
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 0 Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seoul | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 58:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45:40 | 47 |
| 3 | Gangwon | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 38:28 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 36:31 | 46 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39:30 | 44 |
| 6 | Daejeon | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Incheon | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 8 | Anyang | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 39:47 | 41 |
| 9 | Pohang | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 30:37 | 33 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 31:42 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21:63 | 15 |
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)
