Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gimcheon Stadium, Gimcheon
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimcheon Sangmu host Seoul in the K League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Gimcheon Sangmu at 1 goals for, 1.63 against; Seoul at 1.38 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Gimcheon Sangmu slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.00 - 1.50) back Seoul to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gimcheon Sangmu
20%
Draws
33%
Seoul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimcheon Sangmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Seoul come out ahead of Gimcheon Sangmu on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 16%
Seoul Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu Seoul
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 K League 1
Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul
6:2
May 28, 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul
0:1
Mar 3, 2025 K League 1
Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimcheon Sangmu 30 / 100
Seoul 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimcheon Sangmu Seoul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Gimcheon Sangmu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Seoul let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Gimcheon Sangmu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimcheon Sangmu VS Seoul
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimcheon Sangmu

(Home)
01 Aug
Pohang
0 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
29 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 1
Suwon FC
25 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
3 : 2
Daejeon
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
18 Jul
Gangwon
2 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6

Seoul

(Away)
01 Aug
Jeonbuk
0 : 0
Seoul
29 Jul
Busan
2 : 0
Seoul
26 Jul
Seoul
1 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
22 Jul
Seoul
3 : 1
Pohang
19 Jul
Bucheon FC 1995
1 : 3
Seoul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 21 13 4 4 35:17 43
2 Ulsan Hyundai 21 10 4 7 33:30 34
3 Jeonbuk 21 9 7 5 27:16 34
4 Gangwon 21 8 8 5 25:17 32
5 Anyang 21 7 9 5 29:26 30
6 Incheon 21 8 5 8 28:24 29
7 Jeju SK 21 7 7 7 22:23 28
8 Pohang 21 8 4 9 20:22 28
9 Daejeon 21 5 8 8 25:23 23
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 21 4 11 6 22:28 23
11 Bucheon FC 1995 21 5 8 8 21:25 23
12 Gwangju FC 21 1 7 13 11:47 10
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)