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Gimhae vs Hwaseong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Gimhae Sports Complex, Gimhae
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimhae host Hwaseong in the K League 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gimhae have averaged 0.93 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Hwaseong's 1.72 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Gimhae have won 0 to Hwaseong's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.31) point toward Hwaseong. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Gimhae
35%
Draws
46%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hwaseong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hwaseong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hwaseong a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Gimhae Clean Sheet 18%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimhae Hwaseong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Gimhae
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 K3 League
Gimhae vs Hwaseong
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 K3 League
Hwaseong vs Gimhae
1:1
Aug 26, 2023 K3 League
Gimhae vs Hwaseong
2:2
Apr 29, 2023 K3 League
Hwaseong vs Gimhae
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimhae 15 / 100
Hwaseong 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimhae Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hwaseong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimhae's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hwaseong let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Gimhae remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimhae VS Hwaseong
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimhae

(Home)
18 Oct
Seoul E-Land
6 : 2
Gimhae
10 Oct
Gimhae
1 : 1
Chungnam Asan
20 Sept
Gimhae
0 : 2
Paju Frontier
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Gimhae
2 : 2
Jeonnam
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Hwaseong

(Away)
18 Oct
Suwon Bluewings
3 : 2
Hwaseong
09 Oct
Suwon FC
1 : 0
Hwaseong
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 27 18 5 4 46:23 59
2 Suwon FC 27 15 9 3 53:30 54
3 Seoul E-Land 28 16 6 6 52:32 54
4 Daegu 27 14 7 6 51:36 49
5 Busan 28 13 6 9 44:36 45
6 Hwaseong 28 12 8 8 43:31 44
7 Gimpo FC 27 9 11 7 35:32 38
8 Chungnam Asan 27 9 9 9 35:32 36
9 Gyeongnam 27 8 11 8 31:31 35
10 Cheongju 28 6 14 8 35:45 32
11 Seongnam 27 7 10 10 30:35 31
12 Paju Frontier 27 8 6 13 26:33 30
13 Yongin FC 27 5 12 10 32:41 27
14 Cheonan City 27 5 11 11 31:37 26
15 Ansan Greeners 28 7 4 17 32:53 25
16 Jeonnam 27 5 9 13 31:46 24
17 Gimhae 27 2 8 17 22:56 14
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)