Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz

Match Events

Gallo M.

24'

Medina R.

32'

Portillo T. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Chivilcoy host Atletico Escobar in the Torneo Federal. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Gimnasia Chivilcoy at 1 goals for, 0.38 against; Atletico Escobar at 0.88 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Gimnasia Chivilcoy slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.63) point toward Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

28%

Draws

22%

Atletico Escobar

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Gimnasia Chivilcoy has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico Escobar.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Federal provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Escobar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	Atletico Escobar
Matches Played	29	17
Wins	11	6
Draws	7	3
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Atletico Escobar

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Apr 16, 2026 Torneo Federal

Atletico Escobar vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Atletico Escobar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 59 / 100

Atletico Escobar 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Atletico Escobar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Chivilcoy scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Atletico Escobar let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Escobar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS Atletico Escobar

1 Goals Scored 0.88

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9