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Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Jose Maria Paz, Chivilcoy
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Defensores de Vilelas have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Gimnasia Chivilcoy have conceded 0.66 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, Gimnasia Chivilcoy have won 0 to Defensores de Vilelas's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.00, favoring Gimnasia Chivilcoy. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
35%
Draws
35%
Defensores de Vilelas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia Chivilcoy come out ahead of Defensores de Vilelas on wins alone.
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 20%
Defensores de Vilelas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy Defensores de Vilelas
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores de Vilelas vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Chivilcoy 36 / 100
Defensores de Vilelas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Defensores de Vilelas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Chivilcoy found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensores de Vilelas let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Chivilcoy VS Defensores de Vilelas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

(Home)
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
Page 1 of 6

Defensores de Vilelas

(Away)
10 Oct
Defensores de Vilelas
1 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Vilelas
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
07 Sept
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1
Defensores de Vilelas
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0
El Linqueno
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -