Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez

Ben Hur

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia E.R. play Ben Hur in the Torneo Federal 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gimnasia E.R. averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Ben Hur averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Gimnasia E.R. won 1, Ben Hur won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Gimnasia E.R. and 1.56 for Ben Hur. This points to a Ben Hur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Gimnasia E.R.

18%

Draws

42%

Ben Hur

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ben Hur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Gimnasia E.R. picked up more points recently compared to Ben Hur.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 15%

Ben Hur Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gimnasia E.R.	Ben Hur
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	7	8
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	0.8	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal

Ben Hur vs Gimnasia E.R.

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Jun 22, 2025 Torneo Federal

Gimnasia E.R. vs Ben Hur

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Apr 20, 2025 Torneo Federal

Ben Hur vs Gimnasia E.R.

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia E.R. Compare

Top Goalscorer Germanier N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mainero A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Ben Hur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia E.R. 39 / 100

Ben Hur 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gimnasia E.R. Ben Hur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ben Hur or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gimnasia E.R. attacking → ← attacking Ben Hur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia E.R. scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Ben Hur let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gimnasia E.R. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ben Hur lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 32

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	18	13	1	4	31:13	40
2	Villa Mitre	18	10	5	3	22:9	35
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	18	7	5	6	19:15	26
4	Deportivo Rincon	18	8	2	8	22:20	26
5	Kimberley	18	7	5	6	17:13	26
6	Circulo Deportivo	18	7	2	9	17:21	23
7	Guillermo Brown	18	6	3	9	19:29	21
8	Santamarina	18	4	8	6	18:22	20
9	Sol de Mayo	18	4	5	9	16:27	17
10	Germinal	18	4	4	10	16:28	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Bolivar	16	9	4	3	24:9	31
2	Costa Brava	16	8	6	2	17:7	30
3	Biblioteca Atenas	16	8	1	7	17:14	25
4	Argentino MM	16	6	5	5	15:16	23
5	San Martin Mendoza	16	6	3	7	19:19	21
6	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	3	7	15:20	21
7	Juventud U.U.	16	4	8	4	14:13	20
8	Sportivo Estudiantes	16	4	6	6	13:14	18
9	Gutierrez Mendoza	16	2	2	12	12:34	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	9	2	17:14	30
2	Douglas Haig	18	7	8	3	18:12	29
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	6	5	19:12	27
4	Independiente Chivilcoy	18	6	8	4	16:13	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	20:20	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	7	6	20:19	22
7	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	18	4	8	6	9:14	20
8	Gimnasia E.R.	18	5	5	8	14:20	20
9	El Linqueno	18	4	7	7	16:20	19
10	Ben Hur	18	4	6	8	15:20	18

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	10	2	4	21:11	32
2	San Martin Formosa	16	8	7	1	29:9	31
3	Atl. Rafaela	16	7	5	4	19:15	26
4	Juventud Antoniana	16	6	5	5	19:15	23
5	Bartolome Mitre	16	5	6	5	15:14	21
6	Sol de America	16	5	5	6	21:19	20
7	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	4	6	6	12:22	18
8	Boca Unidos	16	2	6	8	16:27	12
9	Crucero del Norte	16	2	4	10	10:30	10