Sport Picks
Gimnasia E.R. vs Sarmiento Resistencia
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez, Concepción del Uruguay 
Match Events
33'
33'
Piccioni S.
37'
37'
Gonzalez H. H.
(Penalty)
40'
40'
Germanier N.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal 2025 game between Gimnasia E.R. and Sarmiento Resistencia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento Resistencia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gimnasia E.R. haven't matched Sarmiento Resistencia's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia E.R. | Sarmiento Resistencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Sarmiento Resistencia
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Gimnasia E.R.
1:0
Aug 25, 2022 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs Sarmiento Resistencia
0:1
May 15, 2022 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Gimnasia E.R.
0:0
Sep 10, 2021 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Gimnasia E.R.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia E.R. Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Sarmiento Resistencia Compare
Top Goalscorer Piccioni S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia E.R. 41 / 100
Sarmiento Resistencia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia E.R. Sarmiento Resistencia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarmiento Resistencia has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Gimnasia E.R. scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Gimnasia E.R. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia E.R. VS Sarmiento Resistencia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia E.R.
(Home) 26 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1 El Linqueno
12 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 1 Gimnasia E.R.
21 Jun
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1 Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1 El Linqueno
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
21 Jun
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1 Sportivo Las Parejas
07 Jun
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
24 May
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento Resistencia
(Away) 26 Jul
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 1 Sol de America
05 Jul
Boca Unidos
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
28 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0 Tucuman Central
21 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
14 Jun
Sarmiento Resistencia
2 : 0 Defensores de Vilelas
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Boca Unidos
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
21 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
06 Jun
Bartolome Mitre
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
23 May
Juventud Antoniana
2 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
17 May
Sol de America
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Germinal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 3 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 6 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Sportivo Estudiantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Gutierrez Mendoza | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 5 | El Linqueno | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Gimnasia E.R. | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ben Hur | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 10 |
| 10 | Crucero del Norte | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
