Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almagro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Maidana F.
33' Event
Minervino D.
Assist: Gallardo D.
46'
Sub
Vitale J. In: Belinetz O.
Out: Vitale J.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Jujuy in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Jujuy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gimnasia Jujuy
28%
Draws
22%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gimnasia Jujuy have won more games recently than Almagro.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia Jujuy taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Jujuy Almagro
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almagro
6:1
Jul 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:0
Aug 1, 2021 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:2
Mar 20, 2021 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Almagro
1:2
Nov 28, 2020 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Top Goalscorer Maidana F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minervino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer Benegas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Jujuy 59 / 100
Almagro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Jujuy Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gimnasia Jujuy remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gimnasia Jujuy scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Almagro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Jujuy VS Almagro
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Jujuy

(Home)
26 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
Midland
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
21 Jun
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia Jujuy
17 Jun
Gimnasia Jujuy
4 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

Almagro

(Away)
12 Jul
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Almagro
04 Jul
Almagro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Jun
Almagro
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
13 Jun
Almagro
2 : 1
Agropecuario
06 Jun
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Almagro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro22134525:1843
2Deportivo Moron21115533:1938
3Colon Santa Fe2298527:1835
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2189419:833
6Almirante Brown2288615:1332
7Godoy Cruz2187622:1831
8CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
9Deportivo Madryn2179527:2230
10Racing Cordoba2276922:2627
11San Miguel21511517:2126
12Defensores de Belgrano2159714:1824
13All Boys22411713:2023
14CA Mitre22410820:2722
15San Telmo2148917:2320
16Acassuso21551115:2320
17Chaco For Ever21471018:2619
18Central Norte21471013:2319
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy21125434:2341
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2196622:1533
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2285927:2229
9Gimnasia y Tiro2177720:2128
10San Martin S.J.2075821:2126
11Colegiales2175919:2026
12Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
13Almagro2074916:2225
14Quilmes2166918:1724
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Agropecuario2258917:2623
17Patronato21410713:1822
18Club Atletico Guemes21541219:3619
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)