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Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fernandez N.
Assist: Becker D.
29' Event
Becker D.
45'
Gallo A.

AI Match Summary

Tristan Suarez in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gimnasia Jujuy
35%
Draws
35%
Tristan Suarez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tristan Suarez lately — more wins on the board than Gimnasia Jujuy.
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia Jujuy's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Jujuy Tristan Suarez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.59 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3:0
Aug 4, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:1
Sep 24, 2023 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Jujuy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becker D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Jujuy 46 / 100
Tristan Suarez 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Jujuy Tristan Suarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Jujuy found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Gimnasia Jujuy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Tristan Suarez conceded in 31% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Jujuy VS Tristan Suarez
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia Jujuy

(Home)
11 Oct
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
Gimnasia y Tiro
03 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
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Tristan Suarez

(Away)
10 Oct
Colegiales
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)