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Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs San Lorenzo 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 Logo

Gimnasia L.P. 2

2 - 0
FT
San Lorenzo 2 Logo

San Lorenzo 2

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Alvarez D.
66' Event
Troncoso L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia L.P. 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia L.P. 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gimnasia L.P. 2
20%
Draws
34%
San Lorenzo 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia L.P. 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • San Lorenzo 2 have won more games recently than Gimnasia L.P. 2.
  • Model gives Gimnasia L.P. 2 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gimnasia L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. 2 San Lorenzo 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
2:0
Apr 14, 2026 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2
0:2
Nov 19, 2025 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
3:1
Jul 24, 2025 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2
0:0
Feb 26, 2025 Reserve League
Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Troncoso L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Lorenzo 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. 2 86 / 100
San Lorenzo 2 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. 2 San Lorenzo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia L.P. 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Lorenzo 2 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Gimnasia L.P. 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Lorenzo 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. 2 VS San Lorenzo 2
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia L.P. 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 2
Rosario Central 2
29 Sept
Tigre 2
2 : 1
Gimnasia L.P. 2
23 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
San Lorenzo 2
08 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
0 : 0
Gimnasia L.P. 2
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Argentinos Jrs 2
0 : 1
San Lorenzo 2
29 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
3 : 2
Aldosivi 2
22 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 2
Huracan 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
San Lorenzo 2
09 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)