Sport Picks
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia
Argentina
Liga Profesional Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza 
Match Events
9'
9'
Martinez D.
12'
12'
Portillo A.
Assist: Gutierrez J.
18'
18'
Sub
Armoa B. In: Cingolani L.
Out: Armoa B.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Gimnasia Mendoza and Defensa y Justicia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia Mendoza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gimnasia Mendoza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gimnasia Mendoza carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Gimnasia Mendoza's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 68%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia Mendoza | Defensa y Justicia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia Mendoza Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cingolani L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Defensa y Justicia Compare
Top Goalscorer Portillo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia Mendoza 95 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia Mendoza Defensa y Justicia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Defensa y Justicia has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Gimnasia Mendoza's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Defensa y Justicia conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia Mendoza VS Defensa y Justicia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia Mendoza
(Home) 04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
26 Apr
Ind. Rivadavia
5 : 1 Gimnasia Mendoza
21 Apr
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 0 Lanus
15 Apr
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 1 Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Apr
Platense
1 : 1 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
21 Apr
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 0 Lanus
15 Apr
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 1 Gimnasia y Tiro
03 Apr
Gimnasia Mendoza
3 : 2 Velez Sarsfield
18 Mar
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 2 Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 3
Defensa y Justicia
(Away) 16 Jul
Racing Club
4 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
23 Apr
Defensa y Justicia
0 : 4 Boca Juniors
18 Apr
Independiente
3 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
13 Apr
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 2 Talleres Cordoba
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Racing Club
4 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
18 Apr
Independiente
3 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
07 Apr
Instituto
2 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
16 Mar
San Lorenzo
2 : 5 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)