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Gimnasia y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta
Gimnasia y Tiro Logo

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 - 0
FT
Chacarita Juniors Logo

Chacarita Juniors

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Rinaldi N.
38'
Pantaleone N.
46'
Sub
Rocca J. In: Capano J.
Out: Rocca J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia y Tiro in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia y Tiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Gimnasia y Tiro
15%
Draws
39%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chacarita Juniors haven't matched Gimnasia y Tiro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordillo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 42 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Chacarita Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Gimnasia y Tiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Chacarita Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
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Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
10 Oct
Almagro
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)