Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta
Gimnasia y Tiro Logo

Gimnasia y Tiro

2 - 0
FT
Nueva Chicago Logo

Nueva Chicago

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Rinaldi N.
Assist: Aguirre J.
58'
Sub
Cocimano S. In: Ruiz A.
Out: Cocimano S.
58'
Sub
Rodriguez T. In: Ambrogio L.
Out: Rodriguez T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Gimnasia y Tiro and Nueva Chicago finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia y Tiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gimnasia y Tiro
20%
Draws
29%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia y Tiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia y Tiro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago
2:0
Mar 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia y Tiro
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0
May 5, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Rinaldi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montoya L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nueva Chicago Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 68 / 100
Nueva Chicago 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Nueva Chicago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia y Tiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nueva Chicago has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Gimnasia y Tiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Nueva Chicago
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Home)
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
29 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
22 Aug
San Martin S.J.
3 : 1
Gimnasia y Tiro
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Nueva Chicago

(Away)
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0
Nueva Chicago
26 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)