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Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Algeciras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Nou Estadi de Tarragona, Tarragona
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bakis S.
Assist: Babanzilla M.
28' Event
Rubio R.
Assist: Sanchez T.
31'
Royo M.

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Tarragona in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Tarragona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gimnastic de Tarragona
20%
Draws
51%
Algeciras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Tarragona haven't matched Algeciras's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 16%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Tarragona Algeciras
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Algeciras
4:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Algeciras
2:1
Feb 13, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Algeciras
1:0
Nov 21, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Algeciras vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakis S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villote V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Algeciras Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turrillo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Tarragona 31 / 100
Algeciras 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Tarragona Algeciras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeciras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Gimnastic de Tarragona found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Algeciras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Gimnastic de Tarragona stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Tarragona VS Algeciras
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Tarragona

(Home)
10 Oct
Torremolinos
2 : 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2
Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
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Algeciras

(Away)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
26 Sept
Torremolinos
1 : 2
Algeciras
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
5 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
6 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
7 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
8 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)