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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Bergantinos

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sanchez A.
39'
Santamaria A.
49' Event
Novo I.

AI Match Summary

Bergantinos in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20%
Draws
57%
Bergantinos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have won more games recently than Bergantinos.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Bergantinos taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 12%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega Bergantinos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Bergantinos
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Bergantinos
1:3
Jan 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Bergantinos
1:0
Sep 4, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Novo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 10 / 100
Bergantinos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Bergantinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Torrelavega scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Bergantinos has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gimnastic de Torrelavega stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS Bergantinos
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6

Bergantinos

(Away)
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Bergantinos 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Portugalete 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Eibar B 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Alaves B 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Ourense CF 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Sestao 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
8 Coruxo FC 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Amorebieta 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
10 Basconia 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Compostela 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
12 Atletico Astorga 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
13 Marino De Luanco 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
14 Real Oviedo B 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
16 Arosa SC 3 0 2 1 4:8 2
17 Rayo Cantabria 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Llanera 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)