Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CA Deva

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Torrelavega in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Torrelavega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20%
Draws
0%
CA Deva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have won more games recently than CA Deva.
  • Model gives Gimnastic de Torrelavega a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 20%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega CA Deva
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 2.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CA Deva
2:1
Nov 1, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:2
Mar 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:1
Oct 14, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CA Deva
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 85 / 100
CA Deva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega CA Deva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CA Deva conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Away concern: CA Deva has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gimnastic de Torrelavega scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
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CA Deva

(Away)
09 May
Bezana
3 : 0
CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5
SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1
CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1
CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1
SD Reocin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 32 5 1 103:15 101
2 SD Noja 38 25 11 2 85:19 86
3 CD Tropezon 38 24 10 4 56:16 82
4 UM Escobedo 38 21 12 5 74:33 75
5 SD Reocin 38 20 7 11 76:38 67
6 Bezana 38 18 12 8 56:34 66
7 CD Siete Villas 38 14 12 12 51:55 54
8 Castro 38 15 8 15 46:41 53
9 CD Laredo 38 13 10 15 42:51 49
10 Atletico Albericia 38 13 10 15 36:48 49
11 Barreda Balompie 38 14 7 17 42:59 49
12 CA Deva 38 13 9 16 55:48 48
13 Ribamontan al Mar 38 13 7 18 51:56 46
14 Cayon CD 38 10 10 18 47:72 40
15 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 11 6 21 38:65 39
16 Solares 38 9 12 17 36:53 39
17 Vimenor 38 9 11 18 38:56 38
18 Santona 38 9 9 20 41:66 36
19 Guarnizo 38 5 11 22 20:57 26
20 Velarde 38 1 3 34 15:126 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)