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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Derio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Garcia Hernandez H.
59' Event
Eskurza L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gimnastic de Torrelavega and Derio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20%
Draws
57%
Derio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnastic de Torrelavega come out ahead of Derio on wins alone.
  • Derio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 10%
Derio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega Derio
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Derio
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Hernandez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Derio Compare

Top Goalscorer Eskurza L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 14 / 100
Derio 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Derio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimnastic de Torrelavega scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Derio let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Gimnastic de Torrelavega remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS Derio
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
01 Nov
Amorebieta
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
3 : 1
UD Ourense
25 Oct
Ourense CF
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 5
Alaves B
10 Oct
Sestao
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
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Derio

(Away)
31 Oct
Pasaia
2 : 3
Derio
24 Oct
Derio
2 : 1
Lagun Onak
17 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 0
Derio
10 Oct
SCD Durango
1 : 1
Derio
04 Oct
Derio
2 : 0
Beasain
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