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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UD Ourense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey Estadio El Malecon, Torrelavega
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
3 - 1
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gonzalez M.
8' Event
Friaza J. L.
24'
Varo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
15%
Draws
51%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gimnastic de Torrelavega a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gimnastic de Torrelavega, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 17%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega UD Ourense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Copa del Rey
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UD Ourense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Top Goalscorer Friaza J. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Labrada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 36 / 100
UD Ourense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gimnastic de Torrelavega scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

UD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Away concern: UD Ourense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS UD Ourense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
01 Nov
Amorebieta
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
3 : 1
UD Ourense
25 Oct
Ourense CF
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 5
Alaves B
10 Oct
Sestao
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
01 Nov
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Leonesa
29 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
3 : 1
UD Ourense
24 Oct
Arenas Getxo
2 : 0
UD Ourense
18 Oct
Real Aviles
3 : 0
UD Ourense
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
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Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
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Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
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Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
TBD -
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Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
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Gijon -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
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Burgos CF -
Numancia -
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Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
TBD -
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Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
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Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
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Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
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Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
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Zamora -
Real Avila -
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Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
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UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
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Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
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Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 10
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Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
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Espanyol -
Varea -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
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Girona -
Pamplona -
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Eibar -
Utebo FC -
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Sabadell -
Pena -
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Huesca -
Tudelano -
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Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
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Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
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CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
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Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
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UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
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Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
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Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
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Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
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Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
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Levante -
Manacor -
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Villarreal -
Castellonense -
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Almeria -
Alcoyano -
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Mallorca -
Conquense -
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Castellon -
UD Poblense -
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AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
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Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
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Granada CF -
Baleares -
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Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
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FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
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Jaen -
Antequera -
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Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
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Getafe -
Hortaleza 4
Atletico Union Guimar 3
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Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
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Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
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Betis -
Trival Valderas -
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Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
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Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
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Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
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Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
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Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
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CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF 0
Racing Santander 2
Auriense 0
Dep. A Coruna 3
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga 0
Valladolid 1
Guijuelo 1
Gijon 3
CD Laredo 2
Burgos CF 4
Numancia 4
Real Oviedo 3
Llanera 1
Ponferradina 2
Arosa SC 2
Pontevedra 0
Atletico Tordesillas 3
Mirandes 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 0
Leonesa 1
Coruxo FC 0
Zamora 2
Real Avila 1
Unionistas de Salamanca 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3
UD Ourense 1
Atletico Calatayud 0
Osasuna 6
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
Prat 1
Ath Bilbao 6
Sestao 4
Espanyol 3
Varea 0
FC Andorra 3
CD Cuarte 0
Girona 2
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena 1
Huesca 5
Tudelano 0
Zaragoza 4
CE Manresa 2
Sant Andreu 3
Calamocha 0
CE Europa 3
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar 1
Elche 3
Sporting de Alcazar CF 0
Malaga 3
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor 0
Villarreal 5
Castellonense 1
Almeria 2
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense 0
Castellon 3
UD Poblense 1
AD Ceuta 2
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza 0
Granada CF 3
Baleares 0
Eldense 1
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera 2
Aguilas FC 0
Lebrijana 2
Getafe 3
Hortaleza 0
Sevilla 3
Recreativo Huelva 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala 1
Las Palmas 3
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD 1
Cadiz 3
Atletico Paso 3
Cordoba 1
San Sebastian Reyes 1
CD Coria 2
Don Benito 2
CD Extremadura 4
Ciudad de Lucena 0
Rayo Majadahonda 1
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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