Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 Estadio La Albuera

Cuellar Balompie

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnastica Segoviana play Cuellar Balompie in the Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013. Gimnastica Segoviana are favorites here. Recently, Gimnastica Segoviana averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1 conceded. Cuellar Balompie averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Gimnastica Segoviana won 2, Cuellar Balompie won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 13, 2013 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Gimnastica Segoviana and 1.19 for Cuellar Balompie. This points to a Gimnastica Segoviana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Gimnastica Segoviana

21%

Draws

11%

Cuellar Balompie

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Gimnastica Segoviana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gimnastica Segoviana picked up more points recently compared to Cuellar Balompie.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 20%

Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gimnastica Segoviana	Cuellar Balompie
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	17	1
Draws	9	5
Losses	10	24
Goals Scored	1.31	0.6
Goals Conceded	1	2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Gimnastica Segoviana vs Cuellar Balompie

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Aug 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Cuellar Balompie vs Gimnastica Segoviana

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastica Segoviana 65 / 100

Cuellar Balompie 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gimnastica Segoviana Cuellar Balompie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastica Segoviana Win (1)

Secondary Pick Gimnastica Segoviana & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gimnastica Segoviana attacking → ← attacking Cuellar Balompie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastica Segoviana scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Cuellar Balompie let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Gimnastica Segoviana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cuellar Balompie lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 8

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Burgos CF	38	28	6	4	80:19	90
2	Leonesa	38	25	7	6	70:25	82
3	Arandina	38	25	7	6	66:22	82
4	Gimnastica Segoviana	38	24	3	11	80:38	75
5	Valladolid Promesas	38	22	7	9	68:25	73
6	La Granja	38	20	9	9	50:36	69
7	Atletico Astorga	38	20	8	10	60:41	68
8	Bembibre	38	16	11	11	55:43	59
9	La Virgen	38	16	9	13	51:51	57
10	Real Avila	38	16	7	15	47:46	55
11	Numancia B	38	15	8	15	51:56	53
12	Palencia CA	38	11	10	17	36:47	43
13	Almazan	38	11	10	17	36:55	43
14	Unami CP	38	11	5	22	39:67	38
15	UD Salamanca (Inactive) B	38	8	12	18	27:48	36
16	Racing Lermeno	38	8	10	20	35:64	34
17	Santa Marta Tormes	38	7	11	20	25:50	32
18	Palencia CF	38	9	5	24	32:67	32
19	Villaralbo	38	9	5	24	24:65	32
20	Cuellar Balompie	38	1	6	31	20:87	9