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Gimnastica Segoviana vs Valladolid Promesas

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio La Albuera
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AI Match Summary

Gimnastica Segoviana play Valladolid Promesas in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gimnastica Segoviana averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Valladolid Promesas averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Gimnastica Segoviana won 1, Valladolid Promesas won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Gimnastica Segoviana and 1.56 for Valladolid Promesas. This points to a Gimnastica Segoviana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gimnastica Segoviana
6%
Draws
90%
Valladolid Promesas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valladolid Promesas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gimnastica Segoviana has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Valladolid Promesas.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Valladolid Promesas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 15%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastica Segoviana Valladolid Promesas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana vs Valladolid Promesas
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Gimnastica Segoviana
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Gimnastica Segoviana vs Valladolid Promesas
0:2
Aug 7, 2019 Club Friendly
Gimnastica Segoviana vs Valladolid Promesas
4:2
Aug 11, 2018 Club Friendly
Gimnastica Segoviana vs Valladolid Promesas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastica Segoviana Compare

Top Goalscorer Chupo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Valladolid Promesas Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chinedu B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastica Segoviana 10 / 100
Valladolid Promesas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastica Segoviana Valladolid Promesas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastica Segoviana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Valladolid Promesas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gimnastica Segoviana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Valladolid Promesas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastica Segoviana VS Valladolid Promesas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715