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Giravanz Kitakyushu vs FC Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Giravanz Kitakyushu host FC Osaka in the J3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Giravanz Kitakyushu at 1.17 goals for, 1.79 against; FC Osaka at 1.52 for, 1.19 against. Past meetings favor Giravanz Kitakyushu slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.94 - 1.94) back FC Osaka to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20%
Draws
40%
FC Osaka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Giravanz Kitakyushu haven't matched FC Osaka's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giravanz Kitakyushu FC Osaka
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs FC Osaka
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
3:2
Mar 20, 2024 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs FC Osaka
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 30 / 100
FC Osaka 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giravanz Kitakyushu FC Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Giravanz Kitakyushu scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

FC Osaka let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Giravanz Kitakyushu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS FC Osaka
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Home)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

FC Osaka

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1
Kanazawa
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
4 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
6 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)