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Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Taniguchi R.
Own Goal
29' Event
Yajima S.
Assist: Arai R.
42' Event
Yoshida K.
Assist: Hiramatsu S.

AI Match Summary

Gainare Tottori in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gainare Tottori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
15%
Draws
39%
Gainare Tottori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Giravanz Kitakyushu haven't matched Gainare Tottori's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gainare Tottori here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 11%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giravanz Kitakyushu Gainare Tottori
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori
2:4
May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
3:2
Jun 28, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Gainare Tottori Compare

Top Goalscorer Yajima S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yamamoto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 35 / 100
Gainare Tottori 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giravanz Kitakyushu Gainare Tottori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainare Tottori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Giravanz Kitakyushu scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Giravanz Kitakyushu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Gainare Tottori
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Home)
10 Oct
Nara Club
2 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6

Gainare Tottori

(Away)
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1
Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)