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Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Iwaki Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu Logo

Giravanz Kitakyushu

1 - 0
FT
Iwaki Logo

Iwaki

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Nagaki R.
27'
Sub
Endo T. In: Yoshinaga M.
Out: Endo T.
39'
Yoshinaga M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
15%
Draws
51%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iwaki lately — more wins on the board than Giravanz Kitakyushu.
  • Win probability leans Giravanz Kitakyushu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Iwaki arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iwaki, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 13%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giravanz Kitakyushu Iwaki
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 0
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Iwaki
1:0
Sep 11, 2022 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Iwaki
0:1
Jun 19, 2022 J3 League
Iwaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshinaga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Iwaki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 48 / 100
Iwaki 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giravanz Kitakyushu Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giravanz Kitakyushu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giravanz Kitakyushu found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Iwaki let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Iwaki's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Iwaki
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Home)
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4
Gainare Tottori
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3
Iwaki
12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0
Yokohama FC
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0
Iwaki
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Gamba Osaka -
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -