Sport Picks
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Hirose K. In: Muramatsu K.
Out: Hirose K.
31'
31'
Muramatsu K.
54'
54'
Sub
Yoshinaga M. In: Hara K.
Out: Yoshinaga M.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Giravanz Kitakyushu and Kagoshima United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kagoshima United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kagoshima United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giravanz Kitakyushu | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
1:1
May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
1:5
Apr 5, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 J3 League
Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare
Top Goalscorer Yasumitsu S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Delgado J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giravanz Kitakyushu 34 / 100
Kagoshima United 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giravanz Kitakyushu Kagoshima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kagoshima United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giravanz Kitakyushu found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Kagoshima United has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Giravanz Kitakyushu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Kagoshima United
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Giravanz Kitakyushu
(Home) 03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0 Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0 Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0 Iwaki
Page 1 of 3
Kagoshima United
(Away) 07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
29 Aug
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4 Kagoshima United
26 Aug
Albirex Niigata
0 : 4 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 6 | SC Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:20 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
