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Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kochi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Shimoda Y.
61'
Sub
Hara K. In: Yoshinaga M.
Out: Hara K.
61'
Sub
Yoshida K. In: Nishimura M.
Out: Yoshida K.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Giravanz Kitakyushu and Kochi United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giravanz Kitakyushu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20%
Draws
10%
Kochi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kochi United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Giravanz Kitakyushu a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kochi United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 68%
Kochi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giravanz Kitakyushu Kochi United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kochi United
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kochi United
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 J3 League
Kochi United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Koh S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yasumitsu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kochi United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 95 / 100
Kochi United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giravanz Kitakyushu Kochi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giravanz Kitakyushu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giravanz Kitakyushu scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Kochi United conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Giravanz Kitakyushu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Kochi United
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Home)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

Kochi United

(Away)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
13 Sept
Kochi United
1 : 1
Kanazawa
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
4 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
5 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
6 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
11 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
12 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
13 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
16 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)