Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kumamoto

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu Logo

Giravanz Kitakyushu

1 - 2
FT
Kumamoto Logo

Kumamoto

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Toda S.
45' Event
Handai M.
Assist: Katori Y.
46'
Sub
Yoshihara F. In: Hirahara R.
Out: Yoshihara F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kumamoto in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kumamoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
30%
Draws
51%
Kumamoto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kumamoto lately — more wins on the board than Giravanz Kitakyushu.
  • Kumamoto are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 13%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giravanz Kitakyushu Kumamoto
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kumamoto
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
4:1
Nov 10, 2019 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:1
Jun 2, 2019 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Kumamoto
1:2
Feb 11, 2017 New Year Cup
Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasegawa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kumamoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Handai M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omoto Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 22 / 100
Kumamoto 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giravanz Kitakyushu Kumamoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Giravanz Kitakyushu scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Kumamoto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Giravanz Kitakyushu has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Kumamoto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Home)
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4
Gainare Tottori
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6

Kumamoto

(Away)
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)