Sport Picks
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu 
Match Events
52'
52'
Kamihashi R.
55'
55'
Takahashi D.
Assist: Hoshi K.
58'
58'
Sub
Tsubogo R. In: Endo T.
Out: Tsubogo R.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Giravanz Kitakyushu and Matsumoto Yamaga finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Matsumoto Yamaga carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 15%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giravanz Kitakyushu | Matsumoto Yamaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:0
May 18, 2024 J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare
Top Goalscorer Takahashi D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Matsumoto Yamaga Compare
Top Goalscorer Murakami H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giravanz Kitakyushu 35 / 100
Matsumoto Yamaga 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giravanz Kitakyushu Matsumoto Yamaga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matsumoto Yamaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Giravanz Kitakyushu scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Matsumoto Yamaga conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Giravanz Kitakyushu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Matsumoto Yamaga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Giravanz Kitakyushu
(Home) 10 Oct
Nara Club
2 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0 Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0 Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0 Iwaki
Page 1 of 3
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Away) 11 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Kagoshima United
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
30 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
08 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
