Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu Logo

Giravanz Kitakyushu

1 - 3
FT
Nagoya Grampus Logo

Nagoya Grampus

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Uchida T.
30' Event
Yamagishi Y.
Assist: Uchida T.
46'
Sub
Nagai R. In: Kawabe S.
Out: Nagai R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
15%
Draws
26%
Nagoya Grampus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Giravanz Kitakyushu haven't matched Nagoya Grampus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Giravanz Kitakyushu a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Nagoya Grampus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nagoya Grampus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 16%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giravanz Kitakyushu Nagoya Grampus
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 J.League Cup
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus
1:3
Nov 16, 2011 Emperors Cup
Nagoya Grampus vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nagoya Grampus Compare

Top Goalscorer Uchida T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yamagishi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 39 / 100
Nagoya Grampus 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giravanz Kitakyushu Nagoya Grampus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giravanz Kitakyushu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nagoya Grampus conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Giravanz Kitakyushu scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Giravanz Kitakyushu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Nagoya Grampus
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Home)
10 Oct
Nara Club
2 : 0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Page 1 of 6

Nagoya Grampus

(Away)
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3
Machida Zelvia
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -