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Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Reilac Shiga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu, Kitakyushu
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sakamoto I.
Assist: Maekawa T.
46'
Sub
Yasumitsu S. In: Maruyama S.
Out: Yasumitsu S.
46'
Sub
Yoshida K. In: Wade M.
Out: Yoshida K.

AI Match Summary

Reilac Shiga in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reilac Shiga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
15%
Draws
21%
Reilac Shiga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Giravanz Kitakyushu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Reilac Shiga lately — more wins on the board than Giravanz Kitakyushu.
  • Giravanz Kitakyushu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Reilac Shiga here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 20%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giravanz Kitakyushu Reilac Shiga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Reilac Shiga
0:1
May 17, 2026 J2/J3 League
Reilac Shiga vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Reilac Shiga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakamoto I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 85 / 100
Reilac Shiga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giravanz Kitakyushu Reilac Shiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giravanz Kitakyushu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giravanz Kitakyushu found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Reilac Shiga conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Giravanz Kitakyushu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Reilac Shiga
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Home)
03 Nov
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 : 1
Reilac Shiga
31 Oct
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
25 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
21 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
17 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1
FC Osaka
Page 1 of 6

Reilac Shiga

(Away)
03 Nov
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 : 1
Reilac Shiga
31 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
3 : 1
Reilac Shiga
25 Oct
Reilac Shiga
1 : 5
Kanazawa
21 Oct
Tochigi SC
1 : 0
Reilac Shiga
18 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 2
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)