Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu

Giravanz Kitakyushu

2 - 3

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Our Tip

Match Events

Tsubogo R.

21'

Ano M.

35'

Toshida Y.

Assist: Shimokawa Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Giravanz Kitakyushu and Tegevajaro Miyazaki finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Giravanz Kitakyushu

17%

Draws

70%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Tegevajaro Miyazaki carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Giravanz Kitakyushu	Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	9	22
Draws	0	2
Losses	20	6
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Mar 7, 2026 J2/J3 League

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

2:3

Jul 21, 2025 J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

May 31, 2025 J3 League

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Jul 14, 2024 J3 League

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsubogo R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Izawa H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Toshida Y.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Matsumoto Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giravanz Kitakyushu 14 / 100

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Giravanz Kitakyushu Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giravanz Kitakyushu scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Giravanz Kitakyushu remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Giravanz Kitakyushu VS Tegevajaro Miyazaki

1 Goals Scored 1.38

2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15