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Giresunspor vs Karadeniz Eregli

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 Cotanak Stadyumu, Giresun
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Match Events

32' Event
Guler O.
Assist: Koskor E.
70'
Dik S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Giresunspor and Karadeniz Eregli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karadeniz Eregli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Giresunspor
30%
Draws
34%
Karadeniz Eregli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Giresunspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karadeniz Eregli come out ahead of Giresunspor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Giresunspor's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Giresunspor Clean Sheet 20%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giresunspor Karadeniz Eregli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Giresunspor vs Karadeniz Eregli
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Giresunspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giresunspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Guler O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giresunspor 36 / 100
Karadeniz Eregli 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giresunspor Karadeniz Eregli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karadeniz Eregli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Karadeniz Eregli registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Giresunspor scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Giresunspor VS Karadeniz Eregli
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Giresunspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Giresunspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
12 Apr
Zonguldak Komurspor
0 : 0
Giresunspor
05 Apr
Giresunspor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
29 Mar
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
2 : 0
Giresunspor
24 Mar
Giresunspor
0 : 1
52 Orduspor
Page 1 of 6

Karadeniz Eregli

(Away)
28 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 3
Yozgat
24 Apr
Yozgat
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
18 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
5 : 3
Orduspor 1967
12 Apr
Bulancakspor
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)