Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024

FC Vilafranca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Girona B play FC Vilafranca in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Girona B averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. FC Vilafranca averaged 1 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Girona B won 4, FC Vilafranca won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 18, 2024 ended 7:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Girona B and 1.06 for FC Vilafranca. This points to a Girona B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Girona B

21%

Draws

28%

FC Vilafranca

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Girona B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Girona B picked up more points recently compared to FC Vilafranca.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Girona B Clean Sheet 22%

FC Vilafranca Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Girona B	FC Vilafranca
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	7
Draws	10	9
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Girona B vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

7:3

Sep 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Girona B

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

FC Vilafranca vs Girona B

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Girona B vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

4:2

Mar 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Girona B vs FC Vilafranca

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Girona B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrido C.

6 Goals

Assists Leader Almena I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Vilafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Aumatell J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Pedro B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona B 50 / 100

FC Vilafranca 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Girona B FC Vilafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Girona B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Girona B attacking → ← attacking FC Vilafranca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona B scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

FC Vilafranca let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Girona B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Vilafranca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 30

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	34	24	7	3	55:20	79
2	L Hospitalet	34	22	3	9	56:28	69
3	Vilassar de Mar	34	17	9	8	41:27	60
4	CF Badalona	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
5	Prat	34	13	12	9	39:30	51
6	UE Tona	34	13	9	12	48:45	48
7	FC Lescala	34	14	6	14	57:59	48
8	Reus FC Reddis	34	12	10	12	31:28	46
9	Montanesa	34	13	7	14	32:39	46
10	FE Grama	34	13	6	15	41:47	45
11	Girona B	34	11	11	12	49:40	44
12	Mollerussa	34	12	7	15	33:46	43
13	San Cristobal CP	34	13	4	17	35:54	43
14	Peralada	34	11	9	14	34:34	42
15	Pobla Mafumet	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	FC Vilafranca	34	8	9	17	31:53	33
17	UE Castelldefels	34	7	9	18	30:47	30
18	UE Rapitenca	34	9	3	22	36:51	30