Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Girona vs Castellon

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zamorano H.
14'
Sub
Gil B. In: Perez C.
Out: Gil B.
45'
Ruiz A.

AI Match Summary

Castellon in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Girona
15%
Draws
44%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Girona haven't matched Castellon's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Girona Clean Sheet 15%
Castellon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Girona Castellon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga2
Girona vs Castellon
1:2
Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Girona vs Castellon
3:3
Feb 21, 2021 LaLiga2
Girona vs Castellon
2:1
Oct 24, 2020 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Girona
0:1
Mar 13, 2010 LaLiga2
Castellon vs Girona
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Girona Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Castellon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sienra A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona 31 / 100
Castellon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Girona Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Castellon let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Girona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Girona VS Castellon
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Girona

(Home)
25 Sept
Girona
2 : 0
Albacete
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2
Girona
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2
Girona
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
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Castellon

(Away)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
5 Almeria 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
6 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
7 Burgos CF 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Gijon 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
11 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
12 Real Oviedo 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
17 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
18 Eldense 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
19 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
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