Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Girona vs Mallorca

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Costa S.
Assist: Mojica J.
45'
Tsygankov V.
46'
Sub
Kalumba J. In: Virgili J.
Out: Kalumba J.

AI Match Summary

Mallorca in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mallorca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Girona
35%
Draws
50%
Mallorca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mallorca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mallorca have won more games recently than Girona.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mallorca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Girona Clean Sheet 10%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Girona Mallorca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 LaLiga
Girona vs Mallorca
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Girona
1:2
May 5, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Mallorca
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Girona
2:1
Mar 3, 2024 LaLiga
Mallorca vs Girona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Girona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mallorca Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona 10 / 100
Mallorca 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Girona Mallorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Mallorca has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Girona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Girona VS Mallorca
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Girona

(Home)
16 Aug
Girona
1 : 1
Leganes
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 1
Girona
07 Aug
Girona
2 : 2
Sabadell
01 Aug
Girona
1 : 4
Arsenal
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
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Mallorca

(Away)
15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0
Valladolid
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1
Elversberg
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
PSG
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2
Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0
Al Fateh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)