Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Girona vs Villarreal

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Vanat V. In: Ruiz A.
Out: Vanat V.
21'
Mourino S.
45' Event
Navarro P.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Girona and Villarreal finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Girona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Girona
35%
Draws
25%
Villarreal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Girona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarreal come out ahead of Girona on wins alone.
  • Model gives Girona a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Girona Clean Sheet 12%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Girona Villarreal
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 LaLiga
Girona vs Villarreal
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Girona
5:0
May 10, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Villarreal
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Girona
2:2
May 14, 2024 LaLiga
Girona vs Villarreal
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona 74 / 100
Villarreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Girona Villarreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Girona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Villarreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Girona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Girona VS Villarreal
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Girona

(Home)
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2
Girona
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
21 Aug
Cordoba
2 : 1
Girona
16 Aug
Girona
1 : 1
Leganes
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 1
Girona
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Villarreal

(Away)
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
23 Aug
Atl. Madrid
2 : 2
Villarreal
16 Aug
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Villarreal
08 Aug
Galatasaray
1 : 2
Villarreal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)