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Giugliano vs Casertana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro, Giugliano
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Giugliano host Casertana in the Serie C - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Casertana have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Giugliano have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Giugliano slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.94, favoring Casertana. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Giugliano
20%
Draws
36%
Casertana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Giugliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casertana come out ahead of Giugliano on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%
Casertana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giugliano Casertana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Giugliano
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Casertana
0:3
Apr 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Casertana
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Giugliano
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Casertana vs Giugliano
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giugliano 34 / 100
Casertana 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giugliano Casertana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casertana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casertana let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Giugliano scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Giugliano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giugliano VS Casertana
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Giugliano

(Home)
19 Oct
Giugliano
3 : 1
Foggia
13 Oct
Giugliano
0 : 4
Inter U23
10 Oct
Bari
2 : 0
Giugliano
03 Oct
Giugliano
1 : 0
Barletta
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

Casertana

(Away)
18 Oct
Sorrento
0 : 0
Casertana
10 Oct
Casertana
3 : 1
Monopoli
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
2 Bari 10 6 2 2 13:6 20
3 Sorrento 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
6 Casertana 10 4 4 2 15:13 16
7 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
8 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
9 Scafatese 9 3 5 1 15:13 14
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 9 4 1 4 18:17 13
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Barletta 10 2 5 3 13:15 11
14 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
15 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
16 Altamura 10 3 2 5 7:14 11
17 A.C. Savoia 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 10 1 2 7 8:22 5
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)