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Giugliano vs Sorrento Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro, Giugliano
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cargnelutti R.
Assist: Capezzi L.
10'
Sub
D'Avino L. In: Galletta U.
Out: D'Avino L.
38' Event
Bolzan A.
Assist: Crecco L.

AI Match Summary

Sorrento in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Giugliano
15%
Draws
51%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sorrento lately — more wins on the board than Giugliano.
  • Model gives Sorrento a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sorrento have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giugliano Sorrento
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Sorrento
0:2
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Giugliano vs Sorrento
0:1
Feb 10, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Giugliano
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Sorrento
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Sorrento
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giugliano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Cargnelutti R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolzan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giugliano 10 / 100
Sorrento 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giugliano Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Giugliano scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Giugliano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Giugliano VS Sorrento
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Giugliano

(Home)
03 Oct
Giugliano
1 : 0
Barletta
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

Sorrento

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)