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Giulianova vs Fossombrone Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Belloni N.
45' Event
Martiniello A.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Ferreira D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Giulianova and Fossombrone finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fossombrone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Giulianova
20%
Draws
51%
Fossombrone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fossombrone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Fossombrone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Giulianova a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 68%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giulianova Fossombrone
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 14 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.23 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Fossombrone
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Fossombrone
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Giulianova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giulianova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fossombrone Compare

Top Goalscorer Belloni N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giulianova 68 / 100
Fossombrone 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giulianova Fossombrone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giulianova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giulianova's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Fossombrone conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Giulianova went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giulianova VS Fossombrone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Giulianova

(Home)
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2
Fossombrone
Page 1 of 6

Fossombrone

(Away)
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4
Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2
Fossombrone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Aquila Calcio 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Teramo 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
4 Foligno 5 3 1 1 6:6 10
5 Ancona 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
6 Santegidiese 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
7 Montecchio Gallo 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 Lanciano FC 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Atletico Ascoli 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Fossombrone 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
11 Recanatese 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
12 Notaresco Calcio 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Giulianova 5 1 1 3 7:8 4
14 Maceratese 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Sporting Trestina 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Angelana 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
17 Termoli 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
18 Pietralunga 5 0 2 3 2:6 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)